Personal Group (UK) Price Prediction
| PGH Stock | 198.00 3.00 1.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
0
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.187 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.146 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.19 | Wall Street Target Price 209 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.142 |
Using Personal Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Personal Group Holdings from the perspective of Personal Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Personal Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Personal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Personal Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 196.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Personal |
Personal Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Personal Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Personal Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Personal Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Personal Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Personal Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Personal Group's historical news coverage. Personal Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 194.24 and 198.84, respectively. We have considered Personal Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Personal Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Personal Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Personal Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Personal Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Personal Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Personal Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 2.28 | 1.46 | 1.32 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
198.00 | 196.54 | 0.74 |
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Personal Group Hype Timeline
Personal Group Holdings is at this time traded for 198.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.32. Personal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 196.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 59.22%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Personal Group is about 65.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 196.68. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Personal Group Holdings last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Personal Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Personal Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Personal Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Personal Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Personal Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Personal Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0R1W | Walmart | (21.83) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (2.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 0VSO | BYD Co | 3.24 | 3 per month | 5.85 | 0.02 | 10.97 | (10.39) | 48.88 | |
| 0P6N | Volkswagen AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.64 | (3.06) | 8.90 | |
| 0P6O | Volkswagen AG Non Vtg | 1.60 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.75 | (3.15) | 9.39 | |
| 0H3Q | Deutsche Post AG | (0.41) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.22 | (3.26) | 7.29 | |
| CPG | Compass Group PLC | (15.00) | 3 per month | 0.69 | 0.04 | 1.43 | (1.33) | 3.85 | |
| 0R08 | United Parcel Service | (1.22) | 4 per month | 1.35 | (0.03) | 1.92 | (2.19) | 8.21 | |
| JAR | Jardine Matheson Holdings | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 0LD8 | Target Corp | (0.55) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.12 | (2.93) | 24.38 | |
| 0JS2 | Kroger Co | (0.48) | 3 per month | 0.82 | 0.08 | 2.29 | (1.67) | 6.60 |
Personal Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Personal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Personal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Personal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Personal Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Personal Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Personal Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Personal Group based on analysis of Personal Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Personal Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Personal Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Personal Group
The number of cover stories for Personal Group depends on current market conditions and Personal Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Personal Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Personal Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Personal Group Short Properties
Personal Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Personal Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Personal Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Personal Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Personal Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Personal Stock analysis
When running Personal Group's price analysis, check to measure Personal Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Personal Group is operating at the current time. Most of Personal Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Personal Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Personal Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Personal Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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