Stellar Bancorp, Stock Price Prediction

STEL Stock  USD 30.46  0.12  0.39%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Stellar Bancorp,'s stock price is about 68. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Stellar, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Stellar Bancorp,'s future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Stellar Bancorp, and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Stellar Bancorp,'s fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stellar Bancorp,, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Stellar Bancorp,'s stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.087
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.48
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.166
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.894
Wall Street Target Price
30.4
Using Stellar Bancorp, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stellar Bancorp, from the perspective of Stellar Bancorp, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stellar Bancorp, to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stellar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Stellar Bancorp, after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Stellar Bancorp, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Stellar Stock please use our How to buy in Stellar Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stellar Bancorp,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1328.4430.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.7330.0432.35
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.1227.6030.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.530.490.55
Details

Stellar Bancorp, After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Stellar Bancorp, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stellar Bancorp, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stellar Bancorp,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Stellar Bancorp, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Stellar Bancorp,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stellar Bancorp,'s historical news coverage. Stellar Bancorp,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.01 and 32.63, respectively. We have considered Stellar Bancorp,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
30.46
30.32
After-hype Price
32.63
Upside
Stellar Bancorp, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stellar Bancorp, is based on 3 months time horizon.

Stellar Bancorp, Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stellar Bancorp, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stellar Bancorp, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stellar Bancorp,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
2.31
  0.14 
  0.05 
7 Events / Month
17 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.46
30.32
0.46 
378.69  
Notes

Stellar Bancorp, Hype Timeline

Stellar Bancorp, is at this time traded for 30.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Stellar is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Stellar Bancorp, is about 1056.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.51. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.0. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stellar Bancorp, last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the September 7, 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Stellar Bancorp, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Stellar Stock please use our How to buy in Stellar Stock guide.

Stellar Bancorp, Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Stellar Bancorp,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stellar Bancorp,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Stellar Bancorp,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stellar Bancorp, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.24)5 per month 1.34  0.12  3.76 (2.16) 10.93 
CCBCoastal Financial Corp(0.58)12 per month 1.27  0.24  5.04 (2.82) 14.24 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.49 7 per month 0.84  0.03  2.57 (1.90) 12.55 
CFBCrossFirst Bankshares 0.05 10 per month 1.62 (0.03) 3.51 (2.91) 18.20 
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp(0.12)7 per month 1.81  0.02  3.13 (3.03) 20.79 
BWFGBankwell Financial Group 0.27 7 per month 1.77  0.03  3.38 (2.42) 17.30 
BYByline Bancorp 2.53 9 per month 1.22  0.08  3.40 (2.51) 20.72 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services 0.29 10 per month 1.24 (0.04) 1.42 (1.56) 9.44 
MRBKMeridian Bank 0.09 6 per month 0.91  0.25  3.29 (1.44) 12.72 
TCBCTC Bancshares(0.20)7 per month 1.02 (0.10) 2.10 (1.99) 5.24 
TCBSTexas Community Bancshares 0.00 4 per month 0.46 (0.12) 0.97 (0.94) 3.81 
PBFSPioneer Bancorp(0.07)4 per month 0.68  0  1.80 (1.17) 4.39 
SALSalisbury Bancorp 0.89 3 per month 1.86  0.02  4.29 (3.33) 10.55 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings 0.09 9 per month 1.54  0.04  2.63 (2.65) 17.62 
CBUCommunity Bank System 1.48 12 per month 1.63  0.08  2.99 (2.97) 18.34 
HBCPHome Bancorp(0.68)10 per month 1.60  0.09  3.67 (2.15) 10.26 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.36 (1.20) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.25)9 per month 1.73 (0.04) 3.17 (2.82) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.55 7 per month 1.90 (0.04) 6.30 (3.53) 14.42 

Stellar Bancorp, Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stellar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stellar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stellar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Stellar Bancorp, Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Stellar Bancorp, stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stellar Bancorp,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stellar Bancorp, based on analysis of Stellar Bancorp, hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stellar Bancorp,'s market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stellar Bancorp,'s related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01170.0150.01870.0196
Price To Sales Ratio5.913.313.215.47

Story Coverage note for Stellar Bancorp,

The number of cover stories for Stellar Bancorp, depends on current market conditions and Stellar Bancorp,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stellar Bancorp, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stellar Bancorp,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Stellar Bancorp, Short Properties

Stellar Bancorp,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Stellar Bancorp,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stellar Bancorp, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stellar Bancorp,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stellar Bancorp,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B
When determining whether Stellar Bancorp, is a strong investment it is important to analyze Stellar Bancorp,'s competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Stellar Bancorp,'s future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Stellar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Stellar Bancorp, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Stellar Stock please use our How to buy in Stellar Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stellar Bancorp,. If investors know Stellar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stellar Bancorp, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.087
Dividend Share
0.52
Earnings Share
2.19
Revenue Per Share
8.209
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.043
The market value of Stellar Bancorp, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stellar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stellar Bancorp,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stellar Bancorp,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stellar Bancorp,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stellar Bancorp,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stellar Bancorp,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stellar Bancorp, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stellar Bancorp,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.