Thurgauer Kantonalbank (Switzerland) Price Prediction
| TKBP Stock | CHF 126.50 1.50 1.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Thurgauer Kantonalbank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thurgauer Kantonalbank from the perspective of Thurgauer Kantonalbank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thurgauer Kantonalbank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thurgauer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Thurgauer Kantonalbank after-hype prediction price | CHF 126.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Thurgauer |
Thurgauer Kantonalbank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thurgauer Kantonalbank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thurgauer Kantonalbank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thurgauer Kantonalbank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thurgauer Kantonalbank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thurgauer Kantonalbank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thurgauer Kantonalbank's historical news coverage. Thurgauer Kantonalbank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 125.53 and 127.47, respectively. We have considered Thurgauer Kantonalbank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thurgauer Kantonalbank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thurgauer Kantonalbank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thurgauer Kantonalbank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thurgauer Kantonalbank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thurgauer Kantonalbank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thurgauer Kantonalbank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
126.50 | 126.50 | 0.00 |
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Thurgauer Kantonalbank Hype Timeline
Thurgauer Kantonalbank is at this time traded for 126.50on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thurgauer is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thurgauer Kantonalbank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.50. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Thurgauer Kantonalbank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 36.64. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Thurgauer Kantonalbank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Thurgauer Kantonalbank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thurgauer Kantonalbank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thurgauer Kantonalbank's future price movements. Getting to know how Thurgauer Kantonalbank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thurgauer Kantonalbank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCVN | Banque Cantonale | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.27 | (1.63) | 12.45 | |
| BEKN | Berner Kantonalbank AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.06) | 0.86 | (0.86) | 2.60 | |
| LUKN | Luzerner Kantonalbank AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | (0) | 1.79 | (0.93) | 3.43 | |
| BCGE | Banque Cantonale de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.57 | (1.53) | 3.98 | |
| SGKN | St Galler Kantonalbank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.03 | 1.22 | (1.05) | 3.37 |
Thurgauer Kantonalbank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thurgauer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thurgauer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thurgauer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Thurgauer Kantonalbank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Thurgauer Kantonalbank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thurgauer Kantonalbank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thurgauer Kantonalbank based on analysis of Thurgauer Kantonalbank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thurgauer Kantonalbank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thurgauer Kantonalbank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Thurgauer Kantonalbank
The number of cover stories for Thurgauer Kantonalbank depends on current market conditions and Thurgauer Kantonalbank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thurgauer Kantonalbank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thurgauer Kantonalbank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Thurgauer Kantonalbank Short Properties
Thurgauer Kantonalbank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thurgauer Kantonalbank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thurgauer Kantonalbank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thurgauer Kantonalbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thurgauer Kantonalbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Additional Tools for Thurgauer Stock Analysis
When running Thurgauer Kantonalbank's price analysis, check to measure Thurgauer Kantonalbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thurgauer Kantonalbank is operating at the current time. Most of Thurgauer Kantonalbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thurgauer Kantonalbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thurgauer Kantonalbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thurgauer Kantonalbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.