HengFeng Information (China) Price Prediction
| 300605 Stock | 14.21 0.63 4.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) |
Using HengFeng Information hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HengFeng Information Technology from the perspective of HengFeng Information response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HengFeng Information to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HengFeng because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HengFeng Information after-hype prediction price | CNY 14.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HengFeng |
HengFeng Information After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HengFeng Information at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HengFeng Information or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HengFeng Information, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HengFeng Information Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HengFeng Information's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HengFeng Information's historical news coverage. HengFeng Information's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.60 and 19.30, respectively. We have considered HengFeng Information's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HengFeng Information is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HengFeng Information is based on 3 months time horizon.
HengFeng Information Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HengFeng Information is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HengFeng Information backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HengFeng Information, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.88 | 4.85 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.21 | 14.45 | 1.69 |
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HengFeng Information Hype Timeline
HengFeng Information is presently traded for 14.21on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. HengFeng is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.69%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.88%. The volatility of related hype on HengFeng Information is about 2255.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.40. The company reported the revenue of 484.38 M. Net Income was 16.88 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 131.6 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out HengFeng Information Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HengFeng Information Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HengFeng Information's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HengFeng Information's future price movements. Getting to know how HengFeng Information's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HengFeng Information may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.23 | (3.15) | 10.77 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 1.97 | (0.03) | 3.55 | (2.04) | 17.17 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.35 | 0.07 | 5.25 | (3.67) | 15.78 | |
| 601390 | China Railway Group | (0.02) | 1 per month | 2.04 | 0.09 | 5.32 | (3.15) | 17.45 | |
| 601186 | China Railway Construction | 0.40 | 1 per month | 2.09 | 0.11 | 6.73 | (3.87) | 17.07 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.06 | (0) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.09 | 0.05 | 2.83 | (2.29) | 8.14 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | 0.66 | 1 per month | 2.52 | 0.09 | 6.42 | (3.94) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.49 | 2 per month | 1.97 | 0.10 | 5.83 | (2.88) | 19.77 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.30 | 0.07 | 3.32 | (2.12) | 8.64 |
HengFeng Information Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HengFeng price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HengFeng using various technical indicators. When you analyze HengFeng charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HengFeng Information Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HengFeng Information stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HengFeng Information Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HengFeng Information based on analysis of HengFeng Information hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HengFeng Information's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HengFeng Information's related companies.
Story Coverage note for HengFeng Information
The number of cover stories for HengFeng Information depends on current market conditions and HengFeng Information's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HengFeng Information is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HengFeng Information's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HengFeng Information Short Properties
HengFeng Information's future price predictability will typically decrease when HengFeng Information's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HengFeng Information Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HengFeng Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HengFeng Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164.5 M |
Complementary Tools for HengFeng Stock analysis
When running HengFeng Information's price analysis, check to measure HengFeng Information's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HengFeng Information is operating at the current time. Most of HengFeng Information's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HengFeng Information's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HengFeng Information's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HengFeng Information to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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