Yunnan Chihong (China) Price Prediction

600497 Stock   5.71  0.04  0.70%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Yunnan Chihong's stock price is about 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Yunnan, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Yunnan Chihong's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yunnan Chihong ZincGermanium, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Yunnan Chihong's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Wall Street Target Price
5.58
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Using Yunnan Chihong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yunnan Chihong ZincGermanium from the perspective of Yunnan Chihong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yunnan Chihong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yunnan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Yunnan Chihong after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 5.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Yunnan Chihong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.424.847.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.115.537.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.10.1
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yunnan Chihong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yunnan Chihong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yunnan Chihong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yunnan Chihong ZincG.

Yunnan Chihong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Yunnan Chihong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yunnan Chihong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yunnan Chihong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Yunnan Chihong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Yunnan Chihong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yunnan Chihong's historical news coverage. Yunnan Chihong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.27 and 8.11, respectively. We have considered Yunnan Chihong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.71
5.69
After-hype Price
8.11
Upside
Yunnan Chihong is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yunnan Chihong ZincG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Yunnan Chihong Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yunnan Chihong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yunnan Chihong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yunnan Chihong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.42
  0.02 
  0.05 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.71
5.69
0.35 
1,862  
Notes

Yunnan Chihong Hype Timeline

Yunnan Chihong ZincG is presently traded for 5.71on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Yunnan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Yunnan Chihong is about 699.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.66. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.76. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Yunnan Chihong ZincG last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2024. The entity had 20:10 split on the 19th of September 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Yunnan Chihong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Yunnan Chihong Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Yunnan Chihong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yunnan Chihong's future price movements. Getting to know how Yunnan Chihong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yunnan Chihong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601899Zijin Mining Group(0.16)3 per month 2.02  0.01  3.26 (3.21) 10.10 
600309Wanhua Chemical Group(2.40)3 per month 2.31 (0) 3.92 (3.47) 16.38 
600019Baoshan Iron Steel 0.08 2 per month 2.05  0.14  4.80 (3.10) 17.37 
600547Shandong Gold Mining(0.35)4 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.39 (2.95) 12.15 
002493Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 0.08 1 per month 1.97  0.07  4.12 (2.86) 15.52 
600010Inner Mongolia BaoTou(0.03)2 per month 2.46  0.14  7.46 (4.00) 19.48 
002460Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium 0.00 0 per month 3.09  0.14  9.99 (6.14) 20.00 
603260Hoshine Silicon Ind(0.38)1 per month 2.50  0.07  4.90 (3.79) 17.89 
600160Zhejiang Juhua Co(0.19)2 per month 1.85  0.19  6.09 (3.85) 15.23 
000807Yunnan Aluminium Co(0.11)1 per month 2.27  0.11  5.75 (3.27) 15.53 

Yunnan Chihong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Yunnan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yunnan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yunnan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Yunnan Chihong Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Yunnan Chihong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yunnan Chihong ZincGermanium, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yunnan Chihong based on analysis of Yunnan Chihong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yunnan Chihong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yunnan Chihong's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Yunnan Chihong

The number of cover stories for Yunnan Chihong depends on current market conditions and Yunnan Chihong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yunnan Chihong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yunnan Chihong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Yunnan Chihong Short Properties

Yunnan Chihong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yunnan Chihong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yunnan Chihong ZincGermanium often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yunnan Chihong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yunnan Chihong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 B

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When running Yunnan Chihong's price analysis, check to measure Yunnan Chihong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yunnan Chihong is operating at the current time. Most of Yunnan Chihong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yunnan Chihong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yunnan Chihong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yunnan Chihong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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