Kunshan Guoli (China) Price Prediction

688103 Stock   42.66  0.06  0.14%   
As of 3rd of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kunshan Guoli's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kunshan Guoli, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kunshan Guoli's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kunshan Guoli Electronic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kunshan Guoli's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
Using Kunshan Guoli hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kunshan Guoli Electronic from the perspective of Kunshan Guoli response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kunshan Guoli to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kunshan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kunshan Guoli after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 43.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kunshan Guoli Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.1734.6446.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.0442.5146.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.2442.8445.45
Details

Kunshan Guoli After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kunshan Guoli at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kunshan Guoli or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kunshan Guoli, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kunshan Guoli Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kunshan Guoli's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kunshan Guoli's historical news coverage. Kunshan Guoli's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.08 and 48.02, respectively. We have considered Kunshan Guoli's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.66
43.55
After-hype Price
48.02
Upside
Kunshan Guoli is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kunshan Guoli Electronic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kunshan Guoli Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kunshan Guoli is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kunshan Guoli backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kunshan Guoli, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.70 
4.47
  0.89 
  0.04 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.66
43.55
2.09 
351.97  
Notes

Kunshan Guoli Hype Timeline

Kunshan Guoli Electronic is presently traded for 42.66on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.89, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Kunshan is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 2.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Kunshan Guoli is about 7946.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.70. Kunshan Guoli Electronic has accumulated 6.45 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Kunshan Guoli Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kunshan Guoli Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kunshan Guoli's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kunshan Guoli's future price movements. Getting to know how Kunshan Guoli's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kunshan Guoli may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002338Changchun UP Optotech 0.71 1 per month 3.04  0.19  9.72 (6.63) 18.30 
600231Lingyuan Iron Steel 0.00 0 per month 2.74  0.17  5.18 (4.00) 19.93 
688466GreenTech Environmental Co 0.40 2 per month 2.90  0.15  5.63 (4.47) 26.28 
000928Sinosteel Engineering and 0.22 1 per month 2.07  0.13  4.73 (2.82) 18.99 
300777Sinofibers Technology Co(0.84)1 per month 3.50  0.10  11.04 (4.44) 31.89 
603797Guangdong Liantai Environmental(0.06)1 per month 1.96  0.17  3.86 (2.70) 18.40 
002573Beijing SPC Environment 0.02 1 per month 2.05  0.11  3.93 (3.41) 17.04 
600874Tianjin Capital Environmental 0.00 0 per month 2.63  0.02  4.50 (2.80) 14.80 

Kunshan Guoli Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kunshan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kunshan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kunshan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kunshan Guoli Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kunshan Guoli stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kunshan Guoli Electronic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kunshan Guoli based on analysis of Kunshan Guoli hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kunshan Guoli's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kunshan Guoli's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kunshan Guoli

The number of cover stories for Kunshan Guoli depends on current market conditions and Kunshan Guoli's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kunshan Guoli is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kunshan Guoli's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Kunshan Guoli Short Properties

Kunshan Guoli's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kunshan Guoli's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kunshan Guoli Electronic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kunshan Guoli's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kunshan Guoli's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.9 M

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When running Kunshan Guoli's price analysis, check to measure Kunshan Guoli's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kunshan Guoli is operating at the current time. Most of Kunshan Guoli's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kunshan Guoli's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kunshan Guoli's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kunshan Guoli to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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