China Molybdenum Co Stock Price Prediction

CMCLF Stock  USD 0.65  0.02  2.99%   
As of 20th of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of China Molybdenum's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling China Molybdenum, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Molybdenum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Molybdenum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Molybdenum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Molybdenum Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Molybdenum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Molybdenum Co from the perspective of China Molybdenum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Molybdenum to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Molybdenum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Molybdenum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.645.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.705.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.660.760.86
Details

China Molybdenum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Molybdenum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Molybdenum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Molybdenum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Molybdenum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Molybdenum's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Molybdenum's historical news coverage. China Molybdenum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered China Molybdenum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.65
0.67
After-hype Price
5.14
Upside
China Molybdenum is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Molybdenum is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Molybdenum Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Molybdenum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Molybdenum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Molybdenum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
4.48
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.65
0.67
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

China Molybdenum Hype Timeline

China Molybdenum is currently traded for 0.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Molybdenum is about 1030400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.65. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Molybdenum last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2022. The entity had 30:10 split on the 3rd of November 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out China Molybdenum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Molybdenum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Molybdenum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Molybdenum's future price movements. Getting to know how China Molybdenum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Molybdenum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARRRFArdea Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.00 (10.34) 39.58 
CTTZFCentaurus Metals Limited 0.00 0 per month 4.37 (0) 7.69 (7.69) 28.63 
PANRFPanoramic Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  375.00 
CCWOFCanada Silver Cobalt 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.00 (9.09) 32.80 
BLSTFBlackstone Minerals 0.00 0 per month 24.32  0.13  42.86 (16.00) 27,083 
OMHLFOM Holdings Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  32.35 
CTJHFCITIC Resources Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  99.72 
CBBHFCobalt Blue Holdings 0.00 0 per month 9.83  0.04  29.59 (23.08) 76.14 
MLXEFMetals X Limited 0.00 0 per month 4.97  0.01  13.33 (11.54) 35.38 
BSRUFBase Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.17  0.00  0.00  25.00 
MGMNFMagna Mining 0.00 0 per month 2.83  0.06  7.78 (4.71) 19.56 
CYLYFCeylon Graphite Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 12.16 (15.75) 41.22 
ATVVFAustralian Vanadium Limited 0.00 0 per month 8.01  0.06  20.93 (23.08) 127.78 
ARRNFAmerican Rare Earths 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 5.88 (5.26) 16.67 
ELBMElectra Battery Materials 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.23) 5.77 (5.56) 16.69 
BHLIFBradda Head Lithium 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00  0.00  6.88 
GSCCFioneer 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0) 14.29 (14.29) 45.24 
TELHFTearlach Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 13.08  0.04  31.75 (23.33) 99.21 
NCPCFNickel Creek Platinum 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 8.57 (11.54) 31.29 
RIGMFRidgestone Mining 0.00 0 per month 7.45  0.05  22.42 (13.91) 58.20 
FCSMFFocus Graphite 0.00 0 per month 7.10  0.02  20.00 (16.67) 36.67 
JRVMFJervois Mining 0.00 0 per month 8.44  0.05  22.22 (18.18) 59.94 
ATUSFAltius Minerals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.80 (4.19) 8.06 

China Molybdenum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Molybdenum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Molybdenum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Molybdenum Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Molybdenum based on analysis of China Molybdenum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Molybdenum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Molybdenum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China Molybdenum

The number of cover stories for China Molybdenum depends on current market conditions and China Molybdenum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Molybdenum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Molybdenum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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China Molybdenum Short Properties

China Molybdenum's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Molybdenum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Molybdenum Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Molybdenum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Molybdenum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.6 B

Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis

When running China Molybdenum's price analysis, check to measure China Molybdenum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Molybdenum is operating at the current time. Most of China Molybdenum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Molybdenum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Molybdenum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Molybdenum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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