International Business Machines Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 190.35 191.78 249.61 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 237.88 239.31 240.74 Details

20 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 124.99 137.35 152.46 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 2.52 3.77 2.60 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as International Business. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against International Business' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, International Business' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in International Business.

International Business After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

International Business Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.21	1.43	0.76	0.01	7 Events / Month	5 Events / Month	In about 7 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
226.92	227.75	0.37	39.72   Notes

International Business Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November International Business is traded for 226.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.76, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. International is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 227.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 39.72%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 2508.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 226.91. The company reported the last year's revenue of 61.86 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.92 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 32.69 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

International Business Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of International Business stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as International Business Machines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of International Business based on analysis of International Business hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for International Business depends on current market conditions and International Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

International Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when International Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Business Machines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Business. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of International Business is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between International Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.