Key Petroleum (Australia) Price Prediction

KEY Stock   0.07  0.02  34.00%   
At this time the value of relative strength index of Key Petroleum's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Key Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Key Petroleum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Key Petroleum's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.857
Quarterly Revenue Growth
103.39
Using Key Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Key Petroleum from the perspective of Key Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Key Petroleum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Key because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Key Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Key Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.066.30
Details

Key Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Key Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Key Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Key Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Key Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Key Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Key Petroleum's historical news coverage. Key Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 6.31, respectively. We have considered Key Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.07
0.07
After-hype Price
6.31
Upside
Key Petroleum is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Key Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Key Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Key Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Key Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Key Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
6.28
  0.01 
  0.01 
13 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 13 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.07
0.07
4.48 
20,933  
Notes

Key Petroleum Hype Timeline

Key Petroleum is now traded for 0.07on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Key is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 4.48%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Key Petroleum is about 25690.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. Key Petroleum has accumulated about 345.16 K in cash with (703.46 K) of positive cash flow from operations. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days.
Check out Key Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Key Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Key Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Key Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Key Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Key Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WBCPJWestpac Banking(0.03)3 per month 0.14 (0.06) 0.39 (0.37) 1.27 
ASKABACUS STORAGE KING 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.33 (1.71) 6.25 
ODYOdyssey Energy 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.08) 10.00 (9.09) 31.82 
SUNSuncorp Group 0.27 2 per month 1.07  0.01  2.08 (1.84) 6.15 
AHFAustralian Dairy Farms 0.00 3 per month 3.55  0.25  15.22 (6.38) 41.58 
YALYancoal Australia 0.03 1 per month 1.49  0.09  3.12 (2.87) 8.71 
PEXPeel Mining 0.00 2 per month 3.50  0.04  9.09 (8.33) 24.48 
BENBendigo And Adelaide(0.09)2 per month 1.07  0.04  1.74 (1.69) 4.66 
CAJCapitol Health 0.03 3 per month 1.63  0.12  5.56 (2.70) 11.51 

Key Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Key price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Key using various technical indicators. When you analyze Key charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Key Petroleum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Key Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Key Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Key Petroleum based on analysis of Key Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Key Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Key Petroleum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Key Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Key Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Key Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Key Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Key Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Key Petroleum Short Properties

Key Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Key Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Key Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Key Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Key Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments172.1 K

Additional Tools for Key Stock Analysis

When running Key Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Key Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Key Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Key Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Key Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Key Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Key Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.