Macquarie Bank (Australia) Price Prediction
| MBLPC Preferred Stock | 102.92 0.30 0.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Macquarie Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macquarie Bank Ltd from the perspective of Macquarie Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Macquarie Bank to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Macquarie because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Macquarie Bank after-hype prediction price | AUD 103.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Macquarie |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macquarie Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Macquarie Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Macquarie Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macquarie Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Macquarie Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Macquarie Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Macquarie Bank's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macquarie Bank's historical news coverage. Macquarie Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.92 and 103.52, respectively. We have considered Macquarie Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Macquarie Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macquarie Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Macquarie Bank Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macquarie Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macquarie Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macquarie Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.92 | 103.22 | 0.00 |
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Macquarie Bank Hype Timeline
Macquarie Bank is now traded for 102.92on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Macquarie is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Macquarie Bank is about 10500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.92. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of June 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Macquarie Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Macquarie Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Macquarie Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macquarie Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Macquarie Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Macquarie Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BEN | Bendigo And Adelaide | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.77 | 0.1 | 1.74 | (1.41) | 4.66 | |
| BOQ | Bank Of Queensland | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.96 | 0.05 | 1.71 | (1.38) | 8.43 | |
| BOQPF | Bank of Queensland | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | (0.04) | 0.51 | (0.39) | 1.39 | |
| BFL | BSP Financial Group | 0.11 | 3 per month | 1.48 | 0.05 | 3.03 | (2.78) | 9.88 | |
| JDO | Judo Capital Holdings | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.50 | 0.03 | 2.42 | (3.12) | 8.72 | |
| ABA | Auswide Bank | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.19 | 0.05 | 3.69 | (3.25) | 12.26 | |
| BBC | BNK Banking | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.88 | (5.71) | 18.50 |
Macquarie Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Macquarie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macquarie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macquarie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Macquarie Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Macquarie Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Macquarie Bank Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Macquarie Bank based on analysis of Macquarie Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Macquarie Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Macquarie Bank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Macquarie Bank
The number of cover stories for Macquarie Bank depends on current market conditions and Macquarie Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Macquarie Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Macquarie Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Macquarie Preferred Stock analysis
When running Macquarie Bank's price analysis, check to measure Macquarie Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macquarie Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Macquarie Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macquarie Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macquarie Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macquarie Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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