Marathon Oil (Mexico) Price Prediction

MRO Stock  MXN 564.00  0.00  0.00%   
At this time The value of RSI of Marathon Oil's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

80

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Marathon Oil's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Marathon Oil, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Marathon Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Oil from the perspective of Marathon Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marathon Oil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marathon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Marathon Oil after-hype prediction price

    
  MXN 564.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
552.48552.48620.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
557.62557.62557.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
563.68563.68563.68
Details

Marathon Oil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Marathon Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marathon Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marathon Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Marathon Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Marathon Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marathon Oil's historical news coverage. Marathon Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 564.00 and 564.00, respectively. We have considered Marathon Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
564.00
564.00
Downside
564.00
After-hype Price
564.00
Upside
Marathon Oil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marathon Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.

Marathon Oil Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marathon Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marathon Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marathon Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
564.00
564.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Marathon Oil Hype Timeline

Marathon Oil is now traded for 564.00on Mexican Exchange of Mexico. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Marathon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marathon Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 564.00. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marathon Oil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.4. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 97.89. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Marathon Oil Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Marathon Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marathon Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Marathon Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marathon Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COPConocoPhillips 0.00 0 per month 1.69  0  4.09 (3.09) 17.29 
COGCabot Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0  0.04 (0.04) 18.53 

Marathon Oil Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Marathon Oil Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Marathon Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marathon Oil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marathon Oil based on analysis of Marathon Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marathon Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marathon Oil's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Marathon Oil

The number of cover stories for Marathon Oil depends on current market conditions and Marathon Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marathon Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marathon Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Marathon Oil Short Properties

Marathon Oil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marathon Oil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marathon Oil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marathon Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding743 M

Additional Tools for Marathon Stock Analysis

When running Marathon Oil's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.