Verizon Communications Stock Price Prediction
| VZ Stock | USD 44.38 0.01 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6023 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.7319 | Wall Street Target Price 47.3274 |
Using Verizon Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verizon Communications from the perspective of Verizon Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verizon Communications using Verizon Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verizon Communications' stock price.
Verizon Communications Short Interest
An investor who is long Verizon Communications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verizon Communications and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verizon Communications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 41.1987 | Short Percent 0.0127 | Short Ratio 2.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 48.6 M | 50 Day MA 42.875 |
Verizon Communications Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Verizon Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verizon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verizon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verizon Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verizon Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verizon Communications.
Verizon Communications Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Verizon Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verizon Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verizon Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verizon Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verizon Communications' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verizon Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verizon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Verizon Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 44.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verizon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verizon Communications will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2024-11-29 option contract. With Verizon Communications trading at USD 44.38, that is roughly USD 0.0208 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verizon Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verizon Communications options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Verizon |
Verizon Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verizon Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verizon Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verizon Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Verizon Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verizon Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verizon Communications' historical news coverage. Verizon Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.92 and 45.76, respectively. We have considered Verizon Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verizon Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verizon Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verizon Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verizon Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verizon Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verizon Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.43 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.38 | 44.34 | 0.09 |
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Verizon Communications Hype Timeline
As of November 28, 2024 Verizon Communications is listed for 44.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Verizon is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 44.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Verizon Communications is about 2298.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.37. About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Verizon Communications has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2024. The firm had 1000000:93 split on the 2nd of July 2010. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Verizon Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verizon Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verizon Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Verizon Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verizon Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.46 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.00 | (2.13) | 4.89 | |
| PHVS | Pharvaris BV | (0.23) | 5 per month | 2.99 | 0.08 | 7.76 | (6.02) | 21.41 | |
| EAT | Brinker International | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0.35 | 5.04 | (2.48) | 11.91 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 2.61 | 0.12 | 6.10 | (5.76) | 14.99 | |
| EURL | Direxion Daily FTSE | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.74 | (5.13) | 12.68 | |
| COLL | Collegium Pharmaceutical | (0.86) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.23 | (4.47) | 12.29 | |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital | 0.12 | 13 per month | 1.57 | 0.19 | 3.66 | (2.80) | 12.59 | |
| AMMX | AmeraMex International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.71 | (7.14) | 58.33 | |
| FQIFX | Fidelity Freedom Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.29) | 0.67 | (0.77) | 1.81 |
Verizon Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Verizon Communications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Verizon Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verizon Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verizon Communications based on analysis of Verizon Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verizon Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verizon Communications's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0485 | 0.0653 | 0.0694 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.61 | 1.21 | 1.18 |
Story Coverage note for Verizon Communications
The number of cover stories for Verizon Communications depends on current market conditions and Verizon Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verizon Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verizon Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Verizon Communications Short Properties
Verizon Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Verizon Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verizon Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verizon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verizon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Additional Tools for Verizon Stock Analysis
When running Verizon Communications' price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.