TRAVIS PERKINS (Germany) Volatility
| LFPB Stock | EUR 8.35 0.30 3.47% |
TRAVIS PERKINS LS retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.22, which indicates the firm had a -0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. TRAVIS PERKINS exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TRAVIS PERKINS's risk adjusted performance of (0.16), and Standard Deviation of 1.78 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to TRAVIS PERKINS's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
TRAVIS PERKINS Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of TRAVIS daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use TRAVIS's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of TRAVIS PERKINS volatility.
TRAVIS |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as TRAVIS PERKINS can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of TRAVIS PERKINS at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of TRAVIS PERKINS's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with TRAVIS Stock
Moving against TRAVIS Stock
| 0.81 | FZG1 | BLUELINX HLDGS DL | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | 72T | FLAT GLASS GROUP | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | HSJA | HALSTEAD JAMES LS | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | W5E | Peel Mining Limited | PairCorr |
TRAVIS PERKINS Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
TRAVIS PERKINS's beta coefficient measures the volatility of TRAVIS stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents TRAVIS stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, TRAVIS PERKINS's beta of 0.71 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk TRAVIS PERKINS stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TRAVIS PERKINS's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TRAVIS PERKINS's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze TRAVIS PERKINS LS Demand TrendCheck current 90 days TRAVIS PERKINS correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)TRAVIS Beta |
TRAVIS standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.81 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by TRAVIS PERKINS's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of TRAVIS PERKINS's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in travis stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in TRAVIS PERKINS.
TRAVIS PERKINS LS Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which TRAVIS PERKINS stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with TRAVIS PERKINS's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of TRAVIS PERKINS's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of TRAVIS PERKINS's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures TRAVIS PERKINS's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict TRAVIS PERKINS's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for TRAVIS PERKINS's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on TRAVIS PERKINS's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. TRAVIS PERKINS LS Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
TRAVIS PERKINS Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TRAVIS PERKINS has a beta of 0.7081 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, TRAVIS PERKINS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TRAVIS PERKINS or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TRAVIS PERKINS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TRAVIS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a TRAVIS PERKINS Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.TRAVIS PERKINS Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of TRAVIS PERKINS is -455.05. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.29 and standard deviation of 1.81. The mean deviation of TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 is currently at 1.4. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
TRAVIS PERKINS Stock Return Volatility
TRAVIS PERKINS historical daily return volatility represents how much of TRAVIS PERKINS stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 1.8134% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8045% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About TRAVIS PERKINS Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of TRAVIS PERKINS or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of TRAVIS PERKINS may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to TRAVIS's beta indicator, it measures the risk of TRAVIS PERKINS and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of TRAVIS PERKINS fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Travis Perkins plc distributes building materials to the building, construction, and home improvement markets in the United Kingdom. Travis Perkins plc was founded in 1797 and is headquartered in Northampton, the United Kingdom. TRAVIS PERKINS operates under Building Products Equipment classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 28710 people.
TRAVIS PERKINS's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on TRAVIS Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much TRAVIS PERKINS's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize TRAVIS PERKINS's volatility to invest better
Higher TRAVIS PERKINS's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of TRAVIS PERKINS LS stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. TRAVIS PERKINS LS stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of TRAVIS PERKINS LS investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in TRAVIS PERKINS's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of TRAVIS PERKINS's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
TRAVIS PERKINS Investment Opportunity
TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 has a volatility of 1.81 and is 2.26 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 is lower than 16 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of TRAVIS PERKINS to be traded at €8.02 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 and DJI is 0.31 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
TRAVIS PERKINS Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of TRAVIS PERKINS's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TRAVIS PERKINS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of TRAVIS PERKINS stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.54) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (468.41) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
TRAVIS PERKINS Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against TRAVIS PERKINS as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. TRAVIS PERKINS's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, TRAVIS PERKINS's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1.
Complementary Tools for TRAVIS Stock analysis
When running TRAVIS PERKINS's price analysis, check to measure TRAVIS PERKINS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TRAVIS PERKINS is operating at the current time. Most of TRAVIS PERKINS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TRAVIS PERKINS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TRAVIS PERKINS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TRAVIS PERKINS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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