TRAVIS PERKINS (Germany) Price Prediction
LFPB Stock | EUR 8.35 0.30 3.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TRAVIS PERKINS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 from the perspective of TRAVIS PERKINS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TRAVIS PERKINS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TRAVIS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TRAVIS PERKINS after-hype prediction price | EUR 8.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TRAVIS |
TRAVIS PERKINS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TRAVIS PERKINS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TRAVIS PERKINS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TRAVIS PERKINS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
TRAVIS PERKINS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TRAVIS PERKINS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TRAVIS PERKINS's historical news coverage. TRAVIS PERKINS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.58 and 10.12, respectively. We have considered TRAVIS PERKINS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TRAVIS PERKINS is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TRAVIS PERKINS LS is based on 3 months time horizon.
TRAVIS PERKINS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TRAVIS PERKINS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TRAVIS PERKINS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TRAVIS PERKINS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.35 | 8.35 | 0.00 |
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TRAVIS PERKINS Hype Timeline
TRAVIS PERKINS LS is now traded for 8.35on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TRAVIS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on TRAVIS PERKINS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.35. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of October 2022. TRAVIS PERKINS LS had 0:1 split on the 29th of April 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out TRAVIS PERKINS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TRAVIS PERKINS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TRAVIS PERKINS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TRAVIS PERKINS's future price movements. Getting to know how TRAVIS PERKINS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TRAVIS PERKINS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
4PN | Carrier Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.55 | (2.59) | 11.52 | |
8SP | Superior Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.36 | (4.50) | 20.22 | |
39O1 | Origin Agritech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.41 | (5.63) | 24.06 | |
IUI1 | INTUITIVE SURGICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.11 | 3.28 | (2.16) | 10.73 | |
INL | Intel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 7.04 | (5.34) | 16.28 | |
RS6 | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.02 | 2.94 | (2.93) | 15.24 | |
RRU | Rolls Royce Holdings plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.09 | 3.10 | (3.10) | 9.56 | |
XYTA | CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.83 | 0.14 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 233.33 | |
9K1 | NORDIC HALIBUT AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.03 | (4.66) | 14.80 |
TRAVIS PERKINS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TRAVIS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TRAVIS using various technical indicators. When you analyze TRAVIS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About TRAVIS PERKINS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TRAVIS PERKINS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TRAVIS PERKINS based on analysis of TRAVIS PERKINS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TRAVIS PERKINS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TRAVIS PERKINS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TRAVIS PERKINS
The number of cover stories for TRAVIS PERKINS depends on current market conditions and TRAVIS PERKINS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TRAVIS PERKINS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TRAVIS PERKINS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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TRAVIS PERKINS Short Properties
TRAVIS PERKINS's future price predictability will typically decrease when TRAVIS PERKINS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TRAVIS PERKINS LS 1 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TRAVIS PERKINS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TRAVIS PERKINS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield | 0.0391 | |
Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.45 | |
Shares Float | 209 M |
Complementary Tools for TRAVIS Stock analysis
When running TRAVIS PERKINS's price analysis, check to measure TRAVIS PERKINS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TRAVIS PERKINS is operating at the current time. Most of TRAVIS PERKINS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TRAVIS PERKINS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TRAVIS PERKINS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TRAVIS PERKINS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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