Abercrombie Fitch Stock Price Prediction
| ANF Stock | USD 149.69 1.13 0.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.273 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.56 | Wall Street Target Price 187.1667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.223 |
Using Abercrombie Fitch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abercrombie Fitch from the perspective of Abercrombie Fitch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Abercrombie Fitch Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Abercrombie Fitch's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Abercrombie. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Abercrombie can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Abercrombie Fitch. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Abercrombie Fitch's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Abercrombie Fitch.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abercrombie Fitch to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abercrombie because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Abercrombie Fitch after-hype prediction price | USD 150.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Abercrombie |
Abercrombie Fitch After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abercrombie Fitch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abercrombie Fitch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abercrombie Fitch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abercrombie Fitch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abercrombie Fitch's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abercrombie Fitch's historical news coverage. Abercrombie Fitch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 146.95 and 153.15, respectively. We have considered Abercrombie Fitch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abercrombie Fitch is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abercrombie Fitch is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abercrombie Fitch Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abercrombie Fitch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abercrombie Fitch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abercrombie Fitch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.10 | 0.36 | 0.12 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
149.69 | 150.05 | 0.24 |
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Abercrombie Fitch Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Abercrombie Fitch is traded for 149.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Abercrombie is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 150.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 102.31%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Abercrombie Fitch is about 315.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 149.81. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 328.12 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.1 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Abercrombie Fitch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Abercrombie Fitch Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abercrombie Fitch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. Getting to know how Abercrombie Fitch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abercrombie Fitch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPS | Gap Inc | (0.92) | 10 per month | 2.65 | 0.03 | 6.38 | (4.61) | 36.06 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 0.73 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.11 | 3.90 | (2.61) | 7.06 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | 0.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.66 | (4.63) | 13.15 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.71 | 11 per month | 6.05 | 0.15 | 24.62 | (11.60) | 107.65 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.55 | (4.27) | 10.31 | |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica | 1.97 | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.1 | 3.24 | (3.09) | 11.09 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | 6.17 | 9 per month | 2.03 | (0.04) | 2.37 | (2.77) | 9.11 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.56 | (0.24) | 19.75 | |
| EXPR | Express | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.69 | (6.76) | 24.98 |
Abercrombie Fitch Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abercrombie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abercrombie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abercrombie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Abercrombie Fitch Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Abercrombie Fitch stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abercrombie Fitch, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abercrombie Fitch based on analysis of Abercrombie Fitch hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abercrombie Fitch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abercrombie Fitch's related companies. | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008701 | 0.0208 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.29 | 0.49 |
Story Coverage note for Abercrombie Fitch
The number of cover stories for Abercrombie Fitch depends on current market conditions and Abercrombie Fitch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abercrombie Fitch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abercrombie Fitch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Abercrombie Fitch Short Properties
Abercrombie Fitch's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abercrombie Fitch's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abercrombie Fitch often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abercrombie Fitch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abercrombie Fitch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 900.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Abercrombie Stock analysis
When running Abercrombie Fitch's price analysis, check to measure Abercrombie Fitch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abercrombie Fitch is operating at the current time. Most of Abercrombie Fitch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abercrombie Fitch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abercrombie Fitch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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