Pt Gudang Garam Stock Price Prediction
| GGNPF Stock | USD 1.14 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
0
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PT Gudang hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PT Gudang Garam from the perspective of PT Gudang response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PT Gudang to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GGNPF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PT Gudang after-hype prediction price | USD 1.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GGNPF |
PT Gudang After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PT Gudang at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PT Gudang or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of PT Gudang, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PT Gudang Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PT Gudang's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PT Gudang's historical news coverage. PT Gudang's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.14 and 1.14, respectively. We have considered PT Gudang's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PT Gudang is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PT Gudang Garam is based on 3 months time horizon.
PT Gudang Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PT Gudang is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PT Gudang backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PT Gudang, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.14 | 1.14 | 0.00 |
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PT Gudang Hype Timeline
PT Gudang Garam is currently traded for 1.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GGNPF is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on PT Gudang is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.14. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. PT Gudang Garam last dividend was issued on the 11th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 23 days. Check out PT Gudang Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PT Gudang Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PT Gudang's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PT Gudang's future price movements. Getting to know how PT Gudang's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PT Gudang may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.41 | 0.04 | 2.25 | (2.25) | 8.67 | |
| WVVI | Willamette Valley Vineyards | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.76 | (2.26) | 8.49 | |
| HAFN | Hafnia Limited | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.78 | (3.47) | 8.96 | |
| MESA | Mesa Air Group | (0.01) | 8 per month | 4.45 | 0.05 | 9.80 | (6.38) | 23.34 | |
| TBEV | High Performance Beverages | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATER | Aterian | (0.21) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.20 | (5.45) | 14.22 | |
| OTLY | Oatly Group AB | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.15 | (6.06) | 30.62 | |
| TAP | Molson Coors Brewing | (2.71) | 10 per month | 0.97 | 0.05 | 2.69 | (1.82) | 7.40 |
PT Gudang Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GGNPF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GGNPF using various technical indicators. When you analyze GGNPF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PT Gudang Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PT Gudang stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PT Gudang Garam, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PT Gudang based on analysis of PT Gudang hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PT Gudang's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PT Gudang's related companies.
Story Coverage note for PT Gudang
The number of cover stories for PT Gudang depends on current market conditions and PT Gudang's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PT Gudang is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PT Gudang's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PT Gudang Short Properties
PT Gudang's future price predictability will typically decrease when PT Gudang's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PT Gudang Garam often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PT Gudang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Gudang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for GGNPF Pink Sheet analysis
When running PT Gudang's price analysis, check to measure PT Gudang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Gudang is operating at the current time. Most of PT Gudang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Gudang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Gudang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Gudang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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