Build A Bear Workshop Stock Price Prediction

BBW Stock  USD 38.14  0.41  1.09%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Build A's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Build A, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Build A's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Build A and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Build A's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Build A Bear Workshop, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Build A's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.123
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.48
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.63
Wall Street Target Price
39.6667
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.57
Using Build A hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Build A Bear Workshop from the perspective of Build A response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Build A to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Build because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Build A after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Build A Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.6036.2438.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.1938.8341.47
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.1039.6744.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.570.650.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Build A. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Build A's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Build A's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Build A Bear.

Build A After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Build A at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Build A or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Build A, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Build A Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Build A's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Build A's historical news coverage. Build A's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.20 and 40.48, respectively. We have considered Build A's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.14
37.84
After-hype Price
40.48
Upside
Build A is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Build A Bear is based on 3 months time horizon.

Build A Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Build A is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Build A backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Build A, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
2.63
  0.26 
  1.41 
11 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.14
37.84
0.79 
263.00  
Notes

Build A Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Build A Bear is traded for 38.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.41. Build is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 37.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Build A is about 48.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.55. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Build A was currently reported as 9.46. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.55. Build A Bear last dividend was issued on the 27th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Build A Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Build A Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Build A's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Build A's future price movements. Getting to know how Build A's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Build A may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BGFVBig 5 Sporting 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.69 (8.47) 25.47 
LESLLeslies 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.03 (9.12) 32.83 
SBHSally Beauty Holdings(0.78)6 per month 1.81  0.01  4.86 (2.78) 12.66 
CONNConns Inc 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.47) 10.49 (28.10) 62.98 
HZOMarineMax(0.17)7 per month 2.83 (0.02) 6.01 (4.71) 18.16 
WSMWilliams Sonoma 4.44 8 per month 1.73  0.08  3.41 (3.07) 29.00 
AAPAdvance Auto Parts 2.53 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.43 (4.63) 15.49 
FIVEFive Below 0.56 12 per month 2.92  0  5.40 (4.34) 16.58 
ORLYOReilly Automotive 9.31 9 per month 0.84  0.03  1.40 (1.55) 7.77 
SPWHSportsmans(0.17)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 9.09 (6.37) 17.82 
DKSDicks Sporting Goods 1.31 9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.97 (3.16) 7.73 
RHRH(8.62)10 per month 1.62  0.11  4.95 (2.84) 29.32 
AZOAutoZone 73.92 8 per month 1.19 (0.1) 2.14 (1.68) 6.36 
BBYBest Buy Co(0.72)9 per month 1.77 (0.04) 2.26 (3.09) 18.06 
ULTAUlta Beauty(0.22)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.89 (3.24) 8.40 

Build A Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Build price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Build using various technical indicators. When you analyze Build charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Build A Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Build A stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Build A Bear Workshop, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Build A based on analysis of Build A hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Build A's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Build A's related companies.
 2011 2012 2016 2020 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding7.2912.4312.976.43
PTB Ratio1.140.692.142.51

Story Coverage note for Build A

The number of cover stories for Build A depends on current market conditions and Build A's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Build A is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Build A's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Build A Short Properties

Build A's future price predictability will typically decrease when Build A's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Build A Bear Workshop often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Build A's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Build A's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments44.3 M

Additional Tools for Build Stock Analysis

When running Build A's price analysis, check to measure Build A's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Build A is operating at the current time. Most of Build A's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Build A's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Build A's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Build A to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.